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Sharp brakes construction steel silver four to bubble soup?
时间:2018/4/3 9:36:19
Yesterday, April was on track for the start of April, rising 20-50 yuan per ton on the basis of a 60-100 yuan rise on Saturday. Although the price of sand steel is up to 200 yuan per ton, it can be seen that the price of steel works is very good because its settlement is still higher than the market price. But will the price increase continue?
In march, 2018, the average price of the three-level rebar in the construction steel market dropped 501 yuan/ton, and the data of the past five years seems to be the traditional "golden three". In the six years since 2013, the price of march has declined as a whole, and the "busy season" has become a new trend. In any case, March 2018 is history, and will the coming April be able to break the spell of the busy season?
April opening of the red "stale"
Yesterday, April was on schedule for the opening of the red, on Saturday market price of 60-100 yuan/ton, again 20-50 yuan/ton. Although the price of sand steel is up to 200 yuan per ton, it can be seen that the price of steel works is very good because its settlement is still higher than the market price. And the price is less than 24 hours, the market is beginning to weaken significantly today! Shanghai building materials market fell 60 yuan/ton, hangzhou market fell 20 yuan/ton, small and medium-sized enterprises in tangshan area fell 40-50 yuan/ton. The main reason is that the heavy lifting of the weekend led to the closure of the transaction. At the same time, at a press conference said: sino-us trade wars will continue, grim situation intensified, weak capital market mentality, cause cramps screw down, less sensitive market reaction was the first to fall.
So is today's decline a modest adjustment, or is it the beginning of a downward spiral?
Analysis: at present, the social stock is gradually digestion, parts and even as a result of the march "dumped goods", individual resources appeared the phenomenon of lack of specification, and steel mills maintenance efforts are also increasing, the market supply pressure will ease in the near future. On the demand side, the terminal site in east China has not been fully started yet, but the construction rate can reach about 80%. The construction rate of the beijing-tianjin-hebei region is also up to 80%, and the construction site of the handan area will begin to resume in succession tomorrow. The infrastructure construction in shandong has been fully started, while some real estate funds are tight, and the construction rate is not ideal. Construction sites in central China are also more than 80 percent. Therefore, as demand recovers, social inventory will continue to fall, the contradiction between supply and demand of the market will reach relief, without significant bad news, the construction steel market is expected to after this round of adjustment slightly, continued to rise.
Rational operation in April is key.
Although the pressure of supply and demand in April will be alleviated, the demand of silver four makes the market hopeful, and the market price is expected to return to the pattern of increase. However, it is advisable to do rational operation, do not be easily bullish on the closure of the market, the volatility of the market, the proposal to establish a long-term sales plan in April.